Betting Lines
| Spread | MAN -0.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | MAN +100 CAN +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CAN +7 | 121 | Lost |
| Massey | CAN -1.7 (-5.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.1 (-26.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CAN -2.0 (-5.0) | 150.3 (-29.3) | 36% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CAN -3.1 (-3.9) | 146.9 (-25.9) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CAN -1.4 (-5.6) | 147.2 (-26.2) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CAN -1.8 (-5.2) | 148.6 (-27.6) | 40% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | MAN 69 – 65 CAN |
| Jan 10, 2026 | CAN 70 – 64 MAN |
| Mar 1, 2025 | MAN 77 – 72 CAN |
| Mar 9, 2024 | CAN 73 – 70 MAN |
| Jan 27, 2024 | CAN 82 – 70 MAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MAN | CAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-18 | 10-20 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 8-12 |
| Home | 5-9 | 7-7 |
| Away | 6-7 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.6 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 73.0 |
| Massey | -11.6 (#344) | -5.6 (#271) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.25 (#340) | -2.46 (#347) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.28 (#351) | -2.52 (#330) |
| RPI | 0.393 (#339) | 0.413 (#318) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MAN | CAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 39.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 30.2 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 13.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 46.2% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 24.3% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 19.3% | 15.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.9% | 54.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.4% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 64.4% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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