Betting Lines
| Spread | CAN -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | MAN +130 CAN -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CAN +3 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | CAN -4.1 (+1.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.3 (+0.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CAN -4.0 (+1.0) | 140.6 (+2.4) | 33% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CAN -3.9 (+0.9) | 138.4 (+4.6) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CAN -3.9 (+0.9) | 137.8 (+5.2) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CAN -3.5 (+0.5) | 136.9 (+6.1) | 29% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | MAN 69 – 65 CAN |
| Jan 10, 2026 | CAN 70 – 64 MAN |
| Mar 1, 2025 | MAN 77 – 72 CAN |
| Jan 27, 2024 | CAN 82 – 70 MAN |
| Jan 29, 2023 | MAN 81 – 74 CAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MAN | CAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-23 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 8-12 |
| Home | 3-10 | 8-4 |
| Away | 4-12 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.7 | 69.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.1 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -12.4 (#336) | -5.1 (#265) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.01 (#335) | -0.95 (#276) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.75 (#339) | -1.14 (#275) |
| RPI | 0.440 (#297) | 0.477 (#234) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MAN | CAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.1% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 25.5% | 32.7% |
| FT Rate | 15.3% | 18.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.