Betting Lines
| Spread | ILST -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Over |
| Money | EVAN +130 ILST -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EVAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ILST +8 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | ILST -0.2 (-7.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.0 (-1.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ILST -0.7 (-7.3) | 135.1 (-5.1) | 41% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ILST -1.7 (-6.3) | 132.1 (-2.1) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ILST -1.4 (-6.6) | 136.3 (-6.3) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ILST -1.6 (-6.4) | 137.1 (-7.1) | 38% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 10, 2026 | EVAN 88 – 80 ILST |
| Jan 1, 2026 | ILST 73 – 47 EVAN |
| Mar 2, 2025 | ILST 62 – 53 EVAN |
| Jan 9, 2025 | EVAN 69 – 51 ILST |
| Mar 8, 2024 | EVAN 59 – 53 ILST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EVAN | ILST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-27 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 1-19 | 6-14 |
| Home | 3-10 | 8-7 |
| Away | 1-14 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-5 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.4 | 66.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.0 | 70.5 |
| Massey | -9.9 (#331) | -5.4 (#265) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.40 (#302) | -1.01 (#279) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.97 (#313) | -1.33 (#279) |
| RPI | 0.419 (#307) | 0.440 (#284) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EVAN | ILST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.2% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.5% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.2% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 21.7% |
| ORB% | 23.8% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 18.9% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.5% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 75.9% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.1% | 23.5% |
Game Analysis
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