Betting Lines
| Spread | ILST -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | ILST -1100 EVAN +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ILST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ILST +26 | 120 | Won |
| Massey | ILST -20.4 (+5.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.3 (-21.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ILST -19.6 (+6.4) | 141.3 (-21.3) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ILST -17.0 (+9.0) | 144.3 (-24.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ILST -17.2 (+8.8) | 141.0 (-21.0) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ILST -20.0 (+6.0) | 142.2 (-22.2) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 10, 2026 | EVAN 88 – 80 ILST |
| Mar 2, 2025 | ILST 62 – 53 EVAN |
| Jan 9, 2025 | EVAN 69 – 51 ILST |
| Mar 8, 2024 | EVAN 59 – 53 ILST |
| Feb 18, 2024 | ILST 86 – 79 EVAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ILST | EVAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-13 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 3-17 |
| Home | 14-2 | 5-10 |
| Away | 7-7 | 1-12 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 65.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 78.3 |
| Massey | 10.6 (#54) | -5.9 (#259) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.52 (#70) | -1.61 (#297) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.82 (#79) | -1.56 (#263) |
| RPI | 0.572 (#68) | 0.447 (#274) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ILST | EVAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.9% | 40.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 29.9% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.4% | 46.8% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 26.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 26.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 74.6% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.