Betting Lines
| Spread | ILST -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | EVAN +455 ILST -625 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EVAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EVAN +8 | 168 | Won |
| Massey | ILST -13.1 (+21.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.3 (+30.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 13% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 8% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ILST -12.8 (+20.8) | 133.7 (+34.3) | 15% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ILST -13.0 (+21.0) | 133.7 (+34.3) | 15% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ILST -11.7 (+19.7) | 132.8 (+35.2) | 14% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ILST -12.6 (+20.6) | 133.2 (+34.8) | 15% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 1, 2026 | ILST 73 – 47 EVAN |
| Mar 2, 2025 | ILST 62 – 53 EVAN |
| Jan 9, 2025 | EVAN 69 – 51 ILST |
| Mar 8, 2024 | EVAN 59 – 53 ILST |
| Feb 18, 2024 | ILST 86 – 79 EVAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EVAN | ILST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 23-13 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 12-8 |
| Home | 5-10 | 14-2 |
| Away | 1-12 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.8 | 74.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.3 | 69.1 |
| Massey | -7.9 (#288) | 8.2 (#76) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.84 (#320) | 0.60 (#107) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.18 (#310) | 0.82 (#109) |
| RPI | 0.438 (#289) | 0.544 (#86) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EVAN | ILST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.7% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 31.3 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 53.5% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 23.7% | 29.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 75.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 24.5% |
Game Analysis
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