Betting Lines
| Spread | ILST -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | ILST -175 EVAN +138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ILST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EVAN +6 | 112 | Lost |
| Massey | ILST -2.0 (-8.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.6 (-21.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ILST -2.2 (-8.2) | 133.4 (-21.4) | 63% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ILST -2.3 (-8.3) | 131.7 (-19.7) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ILST -2.0 (-8.0) | 131.8 (-19.8) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ILST -2.5 (-8.5) | 130.9 (-18.9) | 59% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 10, 2026 | EVAN 88 – 80 ILST |
| Jan 1, 2026 | ILST 73 – 47 EVAN |
| Mar 2, 2025 | ILST 62 – 53 EVAN |
| Jan 9, 2025 | EVAN 69 – 51 ILST |
| Feb 18, 2024 | ILST 86 – 79 EVAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ILST | EVAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 17-18 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 6-14 |
| Home | 10-6 | 10-5 |
| Away | 4-8 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.2 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.0 | 74.0 |
| Massey | -1.0 (#175) | -2.9 (#217) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.03 (#169) | -0.05 (#172) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.03 (#162) | -0.18 (#180) |
| RPI | 0.499 (#180) | 0.494 (#189) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ILST | EVAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 28.9% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 7.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 21.5% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 74.4% | 74.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.9% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
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