Betting Lines
| Spread | ILST -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | ILST -800 EVAN +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ILST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ILST +9 | 115 | Won |
| Massey | ILST -10.2 (-1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.6 (-24.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ILST -10.2 (-1.2) | 141.8 (-26.8) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ILST -8.3 (+0.7) | 140.9 (-25.9) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ILST -8.8 (+0.2) | 141.2 (-26.2) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ILST -9.3 (-0.3) | 142.9 (-27.9) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 10, 2026 | EVAN 88 – 80 ILST |
| Jan 1, 2026 | ILST 73 – 47 EVAN |
| Jan 9, 2025 | EVAN 69 – 51 ILST |
| Mar 8, 2024 | EVAN 59 – 53 ILST |
| Feb 18, 2024 | ILST 86 – 79 EVAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ILST | EVAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-14 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 8-12 |
| Home | 12-4 | 7-9 |
| Away | 5-7 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W3 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 65.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 71.4 |
| Massey | 1.8 (#132) | -5.2 (#249) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.48 (#128) | -0.59 (#224) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.44 (#134) | -0.73 (#225) |
| RPI | 0.521 (#140) | 0.472 (#237) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ILST | EVAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.1% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 38.1% | 30.2% |
| REB / G | 31.6 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.36 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.1% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 24.9% | 23.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.6% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 74.6% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 26.0% |
Game Analysis
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