Betting Lines
| Spread | MCN -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | MCN -125 ETAM +138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MCN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ETAM +2 | 162 | Lost |
| Massey | MCN -1.5 (-3.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.8 (+22.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MCN -0.6 (-2.6) | 141.8 (+20.2) | 45% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ETAM -0.4 (-1.6) | 141.6 (+20.4) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MCN -1.4 (-3.4) | 143.1 (+18.9) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MCN -0.8 (-2.8) | 144.4 (+17.6) | 48% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | MCN 97 – 54 ETAM |
| Dec 13, 2025 | MCN 102 – 66 ETAM |
| Feb 11, 2025 | MCN 67 – 51 ETAM |
| Jan 4, 2025 | MCN 75 – 56 ETAM |
| Feb 6, 2024 | MCN 77 – 51 ETAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MCN | ETAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-23 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 9-9 |
| Home | 6-8 | 5-5 |
| Away | 3-14 | 7-12 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.1 | 74.2 |
| Massey | -9.2 (#326) | -6.4 (#289) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.14 (#287) | -1.16 (#289) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.82 (#303) | -1.65 (#295) |
| RPI | 0.493 (#194) | 0.425 (#304) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MCN | ETAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 28.0% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.63 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 24.7% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 25.9% |
| FT Rate | 14.8% | 17.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.7% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 67.0% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 27.7% |
Game Analysis
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