Betting Lines
| Spread | BOIS -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | BOIS -138 USU +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BOIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BOIS +23 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | BOIS -0.1 (+22.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.4 (+0.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BOIS -2.6 (+20.4) | 141.0 (-0.0) | 58% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BOIS -2.6 (+20.4) | 139.1 (+1.9) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BOIS -1.2 (+21.8) | 139.8 (+1.2) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BOIS -1.5 (+21.5) | 141.0 (+0.0) | 57% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | USU 75 – 56 BOIS |
| Jan 11, 2026 | USU 93 – 68 BOIS |
| Feb 27, 2025 | BOIS 82 – 65 USU |
| Jan 12, 2025 | USU 81 – 79 BOIS |
| Feb 11, 2024 | USU 80 – 61 BOIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BOIS | USU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-10 | 26-9 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 13-5 |
| Home | 14-1 | 14-2 |
| Away | 5-6 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.5 | 77.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.0 | 69.9 |
| Massey | 8.8 (#57) | 13.0 (#18) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.48 (#67) | 2.15 (#33) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.17 (#60) | 3.13 (#26) |
| RPI | 0.571 (#64) | 0.626 (#16) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BOIS | USU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 48.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 41.9% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.41 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 57.3% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 27.9% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 28.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.7% | 47.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 77.9% | 78.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 22.5% |
Game Analysis
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