Betting Lines
| Spread | HOW -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | HOW -800 DSU +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOW +20 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | HOW -9.0 (+11.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.0 (+12.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOW -7.5 (+12.5) | 134.9 (+13.1) | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOW -7.8 (+12.2) | 133.9 (+14.1) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOW -7.2 (+12.8) | 135.9 (+12.1) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOW -7.4 (+12.6) | 135.5 (+12.5) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2026 | HOW 91 – 59 DSU |
| Jan 13, 2026 | HOW 84 – 58 DSU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | DSU 90 – 69 HOW |
| Jan 5, 2025 | HOW 100 – 94 DSU |
| Mar 16, 2024 | HOW 70 – 67 DSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOW | DSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-13 | 6-24 |
| Conference | 11-3 | 4-10 |
| Home | 12-2 | 4-8 |
| Away | 6-8 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.4 | 63.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.3 | 75.8 |
| Massey | -8.4 (#315) | -13.1 (#352) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.82 (#257) | -3.71 (#360) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.32 (#274) | -5.15 (#360) |
| RPI | 0.453 (#265) | 0.392 (#343) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOW | DSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 40.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.72 | 0.61 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.4% | 44.8% |
| TOV% | 22.8% | 24.9% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 19.7% | 14.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 54.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
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