Betting Lines
| Spread | SOU -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | SOU -1200 FAMU +850 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SOU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SOU +18 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | SOU -18.9 (-0.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.8 (+15.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SOU -14.4 (+3.6) | 137.3 (+12.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SOU -13.5 (+4.5) | 136.3 (+13.7) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SOU -13.7 (+4.3) | 139.1 (+10.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SOU -13.7 (+4.3) | 140.1 (+9.9) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | SOU 73 – 70 FAMU |
| Feb 27, 2026 | FAMU 82 – 71 SOU |
| Jan 11, 2026 | FAMU 67 – 59 SOU |
| Mar 4, 2025 | SOU 73 – 70 FAMU |
| Jan 11, 2025 | SOU 91 – 57 FAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SOU | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 7-22 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 5-13 |
| Home | 9-2 | 4-7 |
| Away | 5-12 | 3-15 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 58.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 71.0 |
| Massey | -2.1 (#209) | -16.6 (#358) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.38 (#216) | -3.85 (#361) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.76 (#232) | -5.15 (#361) |
| RPI | 0.497 (#189) | 0.388 (#345) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SOU | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.7% | 37.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 30.3 | 28.7 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 0.50 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 42.0% |
| TOV% | 21.2% | 25.0% |
| ORB% | 21.0% | 25.8% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 18.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 56.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.4% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 60.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 35.7% | 25.8% |
Game Analysis
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