They headed down to old El Paso; thats's where they ran into a great big hassle. "Take the Money and Run" - The Steve Miller Band
Pac-12 Conference · McKale Center at ALKEME Arena · January 7, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread ARIZ -10.5 Away covered
O/U 150.5 Under
Money ARIZ -700 / WSU +450
Model Predictions
Spread Total ARIZ win
Actual WSU +13 135 Lost
Massey ARIZ -14.2 (-27.2)
Massey Totals 157.7 (-22.7)
Bradley-Terry 99%
Weighted B-T 99%
Efficiency Plus ML ARIZ -10.6 (-23.6) 149.4 (-14.4) 83%
Baseline Tuned ML ARIZ -13.0 (-26.0) 153.0 (-18.0) 87%
Baseline ML ARIZ -13.2 (-26.2) 152.2 (-17.2) 83%
Baseline Plus ML ARIZ -12.2 (-25.2) 149.0 (-14.0) 85%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 23, 2024 WSU 7774 ARIZ
Jan 13, 2024 WSU 7370 ARIZ
Jan 27, 2023 ARIZ 6358 WSU
Feb 11, 2022 ARIZ 7260 WSU
Feb 26, 2021 ARIZ 6953 WSU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings ARIZ WSU
Overall 28-7 17-17
Conference 14-6 11-9
Home 15-2 10-4
Away 6-4 4-8
Neutral 7-1 3-5
Last 5 5-0 1-4
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 81.9 68.4
Avg Pts Against 71.1 65.7
Massey 17.4 (#5) 7.5 (#74)
Bradley-Terry 3.64 (#3) 0.14 (#165)
W. Bradley-Terry 4.34 (#7) 0.59 (#123)
RPI 0.662 (#3) 0.523 (#133)
Shooting & Four Factors ARIZ WSU
FG% 51.1% 43.9%
3PT% 35.9% 36.2%
REB / G 41.8 35.0
OREB / G 10.6 11.2
AST / TO 1.45 0.86
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 57.7% 51.7%
TOV% 18.8% 20.5%
ORB% 32.6% 33.4%
FT Rate 30.8% 20.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.8% 50.3%
Opp TOV% 16.6% 16.6%
DRB% 75.0% 74.7%
Opp FT Rate 16.2% 20.7%

Game Analysis

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