Somehow I stayed thin, while the other guys got fat "Rush" - Big Audio Dynamite
Pac-12 Conference · McKale Center at ALKEME Arena · January 7, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread ARIZ -10.5 Away covered
O/U 150.5 Under
Money ARIZ -700 / WSU +450
Model Predictions
Spread Total ARIZ win
Actual WSU +13 135 Lost
Massey ARIZ -14.2 (-27.2) — —
Massey Totals — 157.7 (-22.7) —
Bradley-Terry — — 99% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 99% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML ARIZ -13.0 (-26.0) 153.0 (-18.0) 87% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ ARIZ -10.6 (-23.6) 149.4 (-14.4) 83% ✗
Baseline Plus ML ARIZ -12.2 (-25.2) 149.0 (-14.0) 85% ✗
Baseline ML ARIZ -13.2 (-26.2) 152.2 (-17.2) 83% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 23, 2024 WSU 77 – 74 ARIZ
Jan 13, 2024 WSU 73 – 70 ARIZ
Jan 27, 2023 ARIZ 63 – 58 WSU
Feb 11, 2022 ARIZ 72 – 60 WSU
Feb 26, 2021 ARIZ 69 – 53 WSU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings ARIZ WSU
Overall 28-7 17-17
Conference 14-6 11-9
Home 15-2 10-4
Away 6-4 4-8
Neutral 7-1 3-5
Last 5 5-0 1-4
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 81.9 68.4
Avg Pts Against 71.1 65.7
Massey 17.4 (#5) 7.5 (#74)
Bradley-Terry 3.64 (#3) 0.14 (#165)
W. Bradley-Terry 4.34 (#7) 0.59 (#123)
RPI 0.662 (#3) 0.523 (#133)
Shooting & Four Factors ARIZ WSU
FG% 51.1% 43.9%
3PT% 35.9% 36.2%
REB / G 41.8 35.0
OREB / G 10.6 11.2
AST / TO 1.45 0.86
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 57.7% 51.7%
TOV% 18.8% 20.5%
ORB% 32.6% 33.4%
FT Rate 30.8% 20.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.8% 50.3%
Opp TOV% 16.6% 16.6%
DRB% 75.0% 74.7%
Opp FT Rate 16.2% 20.7%

Game Analysis

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