Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | ARIZ -1000 WSU +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WSU +3 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | ARIZ -15.1 (-18.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.3 (-4.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARIZ -12.5 (-15.5) | 152.2 (-1.2) | 85% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARIZ -12.8 (-15.8) | 151.0 (+0.0) | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARIZ -11.9 (-14.9) | 151.5 (-0.5) | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -12.1 (-15.1) | 154.0 (-3.0) | 83% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 13, 2024 | WSU 73 – 70 ARIZ |
| Jan 27, 2023 | ARIZ 63 – 58 WSU |
| Jan 7, 2023 | WSU 74 – 61 ARIZ |
| Feb 11, 2022 | ARIZ 72 – 60 WSU |
| Feb 26, 2021 | ARIZ 69 – 53 WSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARIZ | WSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-9 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 14-6 |
| Home | 15-1 | 15-2 |
| Away | 7-4 | 6-4 |
| Neutral | 5-4 | 4-4 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 87.1 | 73.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 66.7 |
| Massey | 23.8 (#1) | 12.1 (#40) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.80 (#5) | 2.09 (#34) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.70 (#4) | 2.41 (#41) |
| RPI | 0.648 (#3) | 0.592 (#36) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARIZ | WSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.2% | 47.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.9% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 43.3 | 37.9 |
| OREB / G | 13.8 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.62 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.0% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 37.1% | 32.0% |
| FT Rate | 26.7% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 46.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 77.2% | 75.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.1% | 24.8% |
Game Analysis
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