He is handing the money / He is serving the food / He knows about your party / He is calling you dude. "Comfort Eagle" - Cake
Pac-12 Conference · Beasley Coliseum · February 11, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread ARIZ -6.5 Away covered
O/U 144.5 Under
Money WSU +230 / ARIZ -280
Model Predictions
Spread Total WSU win
Actual ARIZ +12 132 Lost
Massey ARIZ -7.5 (-4.5)
Massey Totals 144.3 (-12.3)
Bradley-Terry 12%
Weighted B-T 9%
Efficiency Plus ML ARIZ -3.0 (-9.0) 141.7 (-9.7) 45%
Baseline Tuned ML ARIZ -3.9 (-8.1) 142.0 (-10.0) 31%
Baseline ML ARIZ -4.7 (-7.3) 141.8 (-9.8) 39%
Baseline Plus ML ARIZ -3.6 (-8.4) 145.1 (-13.1) 38%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 23, 2024 WSU 7774 ARIZ
Jan 13, 2024 WSU 7370 ARIZ
Jan 27, 2023 ARIZ 6358 WSU
Jan 7, 2023 WSU 7461 ARIZ
Feb 26, 2021 ARIZ 6953 WSU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WSU ARIZ
Overall 22-15 33-4
Conference 11-9 18-2
Home 13-7 17-0
Away 8-5 9-3
Neutral 1-3 7-1
Last 5 5-0 4-1
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 71.5 84.0
Avg Pts Against 64.9 68.1
Massey 11.7 (#28) 22.3 (#2)
Bradley-Terry 1.32 (#76) 3.85 (#2)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.82 (#73) 4.69 (#2)
RPI 0.561 (#71) 0.644 (#5)
Shooting & Four Factors WSU ARIZ
FG% 42.6% 48.4%
3PT% 34.6% 33.5%
REB / G 37.7 43.8
OREB / G 12.3 12.7
AST / TO 0.90 1.47
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.2% 54.5%
TOV% 17.8% 18.3%
ORB% 34.6% 36.6%
FT Rate 23.6% 25.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 45.2% 42.6%
Opp TOV% 21.3% 18.7%
DRB% 71.6% 72.0%
Opp FT Rate 22.8% 14.6%

Game Analysis

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