Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | WSU +230 ARIZ -280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARIZ +12 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | ARIZ -7.5 (-4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.3 (-12.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARIZ -3.9 (-8.1) | 142.0 (-10.0) | 31% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARIZ -3.0 (-9.0) | 141.7 (-9.7) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARIZ -3.6 (-8.4) | 145.1 (-13.1) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -4.7 (-7.3) | 141.8 (-9.8) | 39% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 23, 2024 | WSU 77 – 74 ARIZ |
| Jan 13, 2024 | WSU 73 – 70 ARIZ |
| Jan 27, 2023 | ARIZ 63 – 58 WSU |
| Jan 7, 2023 | WSU 74 – 61 ARIZ |
| Feb 26, 2021 | ARIZ 69 – 53 WSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WSU | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-15 | 33-4 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 18-2 |
| Home | 13-7 | 17-0 |
| Away | 8-5 | 9-3 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 7-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.5 | 84.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.9 | 68.1 |
| Massey | 11.7 (#28) | 22.3 (#2) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.32 (#76) | 3.85 (#2) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.82 (#73) | 4.69 (#2) |
| RPI | 0.561 (#71) | 0.644 (#5) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WSU | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 48.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 37.7 | 43.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.47 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 54.5% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 34.6% | 36.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 25.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.2% | 42.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.3% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.8% | 14.6% |
Game Analysis
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