Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | WSU +333 ARIZ -500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WSU +3 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | ARIZ -13.1 (+16.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.8 (-11.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 25% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARIZ -10.0 (+13.0) | 152.6 (-9.6) | 20% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARIZ -9.4 (+12.4) | 149.7 (-6.7) | 29% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARIZ -9.1 (+12.1) | 153.4 (-10.4) | 21% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -10.7 (+13.7) | 155.1 (-12.1) | 20% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 23, 2024 | WSU 77 – 74 ARIZ |
| Jan 27, 2023 | ARIZ 63 – 58 WSU |
| Jan 7, 2023 | WSU 74 – 61 ARIZ |
| Feb 11, 2022 | ARIZ 72 – 60 WSU |
| Feb 26, 2021 | ARIZ 69 – 53 WSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WSU | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 27-9 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 15-5 |
| Home | 15-2 | 15-1 |
| Away | 6-4 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 5-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.5 | 87.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.7 | 72.1 |
| Massey | 8.7 (#61) | 25.9 (#1) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.37 (#76) | 2.72 (#17) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.73 (#78) | 3.68 (#10) |
| RPI | 0.562 (#81) | 0.647 (#11) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WSU | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.3% | 50.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 38.5% |
| REB / G | 38.3 | 44.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 13.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 1.57 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 56.6% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 32.3% | 37.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.2% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 76.2% | 79.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.9% | 16.5% |
Game Analysis
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