See my tailor, he's called Simon, I know it's going to fit. "Sex & Drugs & Rock & Roll" - Ian Dury
Pac-12 Conference · Beasley Coliseum · January 27, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread ARIZ -5.5 Home covered
O/U 144.5 Under
Money WSU +170 / ARIZ -225
Model Predictions
Spread Total WSU win
Actual ARIZ +5 121 Lost
Massey ARIZ -3.3 (-1.7) — —
Massey Totals — 150.0 (-29.0) —
Bradley-Terry — — 15% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 19% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML ARIZ -2.3 (-2.7) 144.2 (-23.2) 37% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ ARIZ -1.5 (-3.5) 142.0 (-21.0) 41% ✓
Baseline Plus ML ARIZ -2.3 (-2.7) 144.2 (-23.2) 41% ✓
Baseline ML ARIZ -2.1 (-2.9) 144.7 (-23.7) 39% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 23, 2024 WSU 77 – 74 ARIZ
Jan 13, 2024 WSU 73 – 70 ARIZ
Jan 7, 2023 WSU 74 – 61 ARIZ
Feb 11, 2022 ARIZ 72 – 60 WSU
Feb 26, 2021 ARIZ 69 – 53 WSU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WSU ARIZ
Overall 17-17 28-7
Conference 11-9 14-6
Home 10-4 15-2
Away 4-8 6-4
Neutral 3-5 7-1
Last 5 3-2 3-2
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 68.4 81.9
Avg Pts Against 65.7 71.1
Massey 8.5 (#63) 15.3 (#9)
Bradley-Terry 0.46 (#129) 2.81 (#16)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.92 (#108) 3.11 (#20)
RPI 0.531 (#118) 0.639 (#7)
Shooting & Four Factors WSU ARIZ
FG% 43.1% 48.7%
3PT% 36.1% 35.4%
REB / G 34.5 41.4
OREB / G 11.1 11.2
AST / TO 0.90 1.34
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.8% 55.5%
TOV% 19.7% 19.5%
ORB% 32.9% 33.0%
FT Rate 20.4% 28.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.7% 46.6%
Opp TOV% 16.9% 16.7%
DRB% 72.8% 73.0%
Opp FT Rate 20.5% 16.8%

Game Analysis

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