In North Carolina way back in the hills, there lived my pappy and he had him a still. "White Lightning" - The Big Bopper
Pac-12 Conference · Beasley Coliseum · January 27, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread ARIZ -5.5 Home covered
O/U 144.5 Under
Money WSU +170 / ARIZ -225
Model Predictions
Spread Total WSU win
Actual ARIZ +5 121 Lost
Massey ARIZ -3.3 (-1.7)
Massey Totals 150.0 (-29.0)
Bradley-Terry 15%
Weighted B-T 19%
Efficiency Plus ML ARIZ -1.5 (-3.5) 142.0 (-21.0) 41%
Baseline Tuned ML ARIZ -2.3 (-2.7) 144.2 (-23.2) 37%
Baseline ML ARIZ -2.1 (-2.9) 144.7 (-23.7) 39%
Baseline Plus ML ARIZ -2.3 (-2.7) 144.2 (-23.2) 41%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 23, 2024 WSU 7774 ARIZ
Jan 13, 2024 WSU 7370 ARIZ
Jan 7, 2023 WSU 7461 ARIZ
Feb 11, 2022 ARIZ 7260 WSU
Feb 26, 2021 ARIZ 6953 WSU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WSU ARIZ
Overall 17-17 28-7
Conference 11-9 14-6
Home 10-4 15-2
Away 4-8 6-4
Neutral 3-5 7-1
Last 5 3-2 3-2
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 68.4 81.9
Avg Pts Against 65.7 71.1
Massey 8.5 (#63) 15.3 (#9)
Bradley-Terry 0.46 (#129) 2.81 (#16)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.92 (#108) 3.11 (#20)
RPI 0.531 (#118) 0.639 (#7)
Shooting & Four Factors WSU ARIZ
FG% 43.1% 48.7%
3PT% 36.1% 35.4%
REB / G 34.5 41.4
OREB / G 11.1 11.2
AST / TO 0.90 1.34
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.8% 55.5%
TOV% 19.7% 19.5%
ORB% 32.9% 33.0%
FT Rate 20.4% 28.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.7% 46.6%
Opp TOV% 16.9% 16.7%
DRB% 72.8% 73.0%
Opp FT Rate 20.5% 16.8%

Game Analysis

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