Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | ARIZ -333 WSU +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARIZ +16 | 122 | Won |
| Massey | ARIZ -8.9 (+7.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.4 (-19.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARIZ -8.0 (+8.0) | 143.5 (-21.5) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARIZ -6.4 (+9.6) | 140.9 (-18.9) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARIZ -8.9 (+7.1) | 142.7 (-20.7) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -8.6 (+7.4) | 143.7 (-21.7) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 23, 2024 | WSU 77 – 74 ARIZ |
| Jan 13, 2024 | WSU 73 – 70 ARIZ |
| Jan 27, 2023 | ARIZ 63 – 58 WSU |
| Jan 7, 2023 | WSU 74 – 61 ARIZ |
| Feb 11, 2022 | ARIZ 72 – 60 WSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARIZ | WSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-9 | 14-13 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 7-12 |
| Home | 12-4 | 11-5 |
| Away | 5-5 | 3-6 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.4 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.6 | 67.4 |
| Massey | 11.6 (#34) | 5.0 (#99) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.54 (#61) | 0.94 (#95) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.14 (#62) | 1.35 (#90) |
| RPI | 0.553 (#76) | 0.519 (#141) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARIZ | WSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 37.9% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 38.6 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 21.4% |
| ORB% | 34.6% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 30.7% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 46.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 76.0% | 74.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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