This will be our year, took a long time to come "This Will Be Our Year" - The Zombies
Pac-12 Conference · McKale Center at ALKEME Arena · February 26, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread ARIZ -7.5 Home covered
O/U 139.5 Under
Money ARIZ -333 / WSU +320
Model Predictions
Spread Total ARIZ win
Actual ARIZ +16 122 Won
Massey ARIZ -8.9 (+7.1)
Massey Totals 141.4 (-19.4)
Bradley-Terry 73%
Weighted B-T 78%
Efficiency Plus ML ARIZ -6.4 (+9.6) 140.9 (-18.9) 77%
Baseline Tuned ML ARIZ -8.0 (+8.0) 143.5 (-21.5) 78%
Baseline ML ARIZ -8.6 (+7.4) 143.7 (-21.7) 79%
Baseline Plus ML ARIZ -8.9 (+7.1) 142.7 (-20.7) 78%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 23, 2024 WSU 7774 ARIZ
Jan 13, 2024 WSU 7370 ARIZ
Jan 27, 2023 ARIZ 6358 WSU
Jan 7, 2023 WSU 7461 ARIZ
Feb 11, 2022 ARIZ 7260 WSU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings ARIZ WSU
Overall 17-9 14-13
Conference 11-9 7-12
Home 12-4 11-5
Away 5-5 3-6
Neutral 0-0 0-2
Last 5 2-3 3-2
Streak L1 L3
Avg Pts For 75.4 68.6
Avg Pts Against 68.6 67.4
Massey 11.6 (#34) 5.0 (#99)
Bradley-Terry 1.54 (#61) 0.94 (#95)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.14 (#62) 1.35 (#90)
RPI 0.553 (#76) 0.519 (#141)
Shooting & Four Factors ARIZ WSU
FG% 44.9% 41.6%
3PT% 37.9% 34.6%
REB / G 38.6 38.0
OREB / G 12.0 11.1
AST / TO 1.29 0.82
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.7% 48.5%
TOV% 17.5% 21.4%
ORB% 34.6% 30.4%
FT Rate 30.7% 25.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.2% 46.4%
Opp TOV% 18.1% 18.6%
DRB% 76.0% 74.3%
Opp FT Rate 22.7% 23.1%

Game Analysis

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