Tap turns on the water, see the waters flow. "Tap Turns on the Water" - C.C.S.
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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90–35 on winners spread MAE 8.4 125 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Villanova @ Marquette +10.8 143.0 82% 74–87 ✓
Long Island University @ Saint Francis -0.6 133.3 47% 64–74 ✗
Wagner @ Mercyhurst +2.1 125.2 55% 66–71 ✓
Chicago State @ Stonehill +10.4 130.9 87% 73–75 ✓
Central Connecticut @ Le Moyne -6.6 135.2 23% 93–70 ✓
Milwaukee @ Northern Kentucky -3.3 138.9 37% 79–59 ✓
Kent State @ Ohio +0.5 139.8 55% 59–61 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ Dayton +5.3 143.4 71% 72–77 ✓
Michigan @ Purdue +3.5 148.2 65% 64–91 ✓
Penn State @ Iowa +2.2 164.6 64% 75–76 ✓
St. Bonaventure @ VCU +8.5 133.4 80% 61–75 ✓
UCLA @ Washington -4.8 140.5 30% 65–60 ✓
SMU @ NC State -3.6 146.1 37% 63–57 ✓
Campbell @ Hofstra +4.8 130.7 68% 69–67 ✗
North Carolina A&T @ Stony Brook +0.9 142.2 47% 74–89 ✓
Pittsburgh @ Syracuse -7.7 149.7 20% 77–73 ✓
Howard @ Norfolk State +11.2 151.8 84% 75–92 ✓
Georgetown @ Providence +1.0 135.1 50% 68–78 ✓
Mississippi State @ South Carolina -5.4 139.0 29% 65–60 ✓
South Florida @ East Carolina +4.1 145.1 70% 55–64 ✓
Northern Iowa @ Indiana State -5.2 154.8 29% 74–56 ✓
Bucknell @ Boston University -0.3 131.6 39% 82–85 ✗
UMBC @ Vermont +2.9 139.5 59% 80–63 ✗
Detroit Mercy @ Wright State +9.5 142.7 84% 50–67 ✓
Jacksonville @ Queens University +0.4 141.7 49% 87–77 ✗
UNC Greensboro @ VMI -6.9 140.6 25% 60–57 ✓
Western Carolina @ The Citadel +1.9 133.4 55% 80–78 ✗
Marist @ Canisius -6.8 135.4 22% 70–47 ✓
Siena @ Iona +0.4 138.6 50% 68–72 ✓
Michigan State @ Rutgers -5.3 146.9 31% 81–74 ✓
Seton Hall @ Creighton +15.9 137.6 89% 54–79 ✓
Iowa State @ Arizona State -5.3 142.6 33% 76–61 ✓
Winthrop @ High Point +8.8 160.8 84% 62–84 ✓
Rhode Island @ La Salle -1.4 147.8 45% 64–70 ✗
Saint Louis @ George Washington +1.9 141.4 61% 61–67 ✓
Illinois State @ Bradley +11.2 143.8 84% 57–61 ✓
Holy Cross @ Loyola Maryland +1.6 142.2 56% 70–65 ✗
Cornell @ Princeton +2.7 153.9 63% 85–76 ✗
Harvard @ Yale +14.3 144.0 88% 55–84 ✓
Columbia @ Pennsylvania -3.0 149.4 38% 78–93 ✗
Dartmouth @ Brown +3.8 145.0 61% 84–83 ✗
New Hampshire @ UMass Lowell +12.4 146.6 87% 80–97 ✓
Binghamton @ Bryant +12.4 147.9 86% 69–83 ✓
Oakland @ Robert Morris +1.1 137.7 59% 71–73 ✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ IU Indianapolis -6.0 155.8 25% 91–80 ✓
Delaware @ Drexel +3.5 142.9 69% 54–67 ✓
Monmouth @ William & Mary +7.5 151.3 79% 73–78 ✓
North Florida @ West Georgia -5.0 157.5 32% 72–92 ✗
Lipscomb @ Central Arkansas -15.0 141.6 13% 68–55 ✓
Miami (OH) @ Akron +5.6 155.9 73% 75–102 ✓
Buffalo @ Eastern Michigan +5.7 150.5 76% 77–90 ✓
Rider @ Quinnipiac +10.0 136.1 85% 64–75 ✓
Sacred Heart @ Niagara +0.4 142.4 47% 86–77 ✗
Boston College @ North Carolina +18.8 146.4 90% 96–102 ✓
Kentucky @ Vanderbilt -0.5 160.7 54% 69–74 ✗
Texas A&M @ Texas +1.3 140.6 56% 69–70 ✓
Tulane @ Rice +0.8 142.3 51% 82–71 ✗
New Mexico @ UNLV -2.9 142.6 34% 75–73 ✓
South Carolina Upstate @ Longwood +11.9 154.6 87% 54–80 ✓
Colorado @ Arizona +14.8 149.5 88% 63–78 ✓
Southern Illinois @ UIC +7.3 150.8 79% 89–85 ✗
Stetson @ Bellarmine -0.2 147.5 46% 81–76 ✓
Northern Arizona @ Idaho +2.1 142.5 61% 80–72 ✗
Marshall @ Georgia Southern -2.0 149.7 41% 71–67 ✓
App State @ UL Monroe -11.4 129.9 13% 66–58 ✓
Texas State @ Arkansas State +8.6 147.6 78% 65–80 ✓
Green Bay @ Cleveland State +13.4 140.8 88% 66–81 ✓
Georgia @ Florida +10.1 140.8 84% 59–89 ✓
UNC Asheville @ Charleston Southern -3.0 152.1 37% 69–61 ✓
Western Kentucky @ Sam Houston +0.3 149.5 50% 75–66 ✗
Oregon @ Minnesota -5.6 140.7 28% 69–77 ✗
TCU @ UCF +2.4 145.4 56% 58–85 ✓
Temple @ UTSA -2.3 156.5 37% 79–88 ✗
Evansville @ Valparaiso +6.1 135.8 73% 78–68 ✗
Drake @ Missouri State -10.1 125.9 15% 69–62 ✓
Belmont @ Murray State +3.4 153.5 63% 95–77 ✗
Utah State @ Air Force -13.1 140.1 14% 87–58 ✓
Colgate @ American University +0.8 137.4 51% 77–81 ✓
NJIT @ UAlbany +8.8 135.5 81% 62–68 ✓
Weber State @ Sacramento State -1.9 131.7 33% 87–81 ✓
DePaul @ Butler +5.4 147.4 72% 69–86 ✓
James Madison @ Georgia State -6.0 144.3 27% 86–79 ✓
Florida Gulf Coast @ Eastern Kentucky -2.6 143.2 38% 77–81 ✗
UT Arlington @ Abilene Christian +0.6 140.4 54% 79–76 ✗
Chattanooga @ East Tennessee State +4.8 143.9 70% 71–63 ✗
Manhattan @ Mount St. Mary's +2.9 147.1 61% 74–64 ✗
Prairie View A&M @ Alabama State +7.2 155.4 78% 63–66 ✓
Delaware State @ Maryland Eastern Shore -5.4 143.2 25% 73–66 ✓
Coppin State @ Morgan State +5.9 151.8 81% 64–80 ✓
Duke @ Wake Forest -10.2 132.7 16% 63–56 ✓
Radford @ Presbyterian -1.4 140.0 36% 82–69 ✓
Baylor @ Utah -1.9 142.0 42% 76–61 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Jackson State -0.1 137.2 48% 81–86 ✗
Nicholls @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi +4.6 149.1 73% 57–61 ✓
Incarnate Word @ SE Louisiana +6.6 141.9 76% 63–86 ✓
Furman @ Mercer -0.8 145.4 42% 79–74 ✓
Ball State @ Northern Illinois -7.1 144.7 29% 66–76 ✗
Tennessee Tech @ UT Martin +3.9 145.2 64% 89–85 ✗
Southeast Missouri State @ Western Illinois -3.5 130.0 33% 72–51 ✓
Morehead State @ SIU Edwardsville +3.4 132.7 65% 54–65 ✓
Southern Indiana @ Eastern Illinois -0.3 137.3 40% 64–60 ✓
South Carolina State @ North Carolina Central -2.8 147.3 44% 77–82 ✗
Florida A&M @ Alcorn State +4.4 137.1 54% 65–64 ✗
Little Rock @ Lindenwood -3.7 132.4 32% 78–46 ✓
Clemson @ Virginia Tech -8.3 137.2 20% 72–57 ✓
Idaho State @ Portland State +1.8 139.4 59% 59–76 ✓
Northern Colorado @ Eastern Washington -4.0 150.0 31% 67–62 ✓
Long Beach State @ Cal Poly +4.5 150.1 70% 69–78 ✓
North Dakota @ North Dakota State +14.9 160.4 88% 82–87 ✓
Texas Southern @ Alabama A&M -4.8 143.5 26% 82–78 ✓
McNeese @ UT Rio Grande Valley -7.6 144.1 24% 93–63 ✓
Ole Miss @ Missouri +2.0 141.5 63% 75–83 ✓
West Virginia @ Kansas State -4.9 132.9 37% 60–73 ✗
Northwestern State @ Stephen F. Austin +0.2 129.2 46% 57–54 ✗
Davidson @ Richmond -2.3 138.1 36% 72–66 ✓
Houston Christian @ New Orleans -2.0 145.0 36% 86–76 ✓
South Alabama @ Troy +2.6 133.0 55% 55–65 ✓
Santa Clara @ Oregon State +4.0 152.1 68% 69–83 ✓
South Dakota @ South Dakota State +11.6 166.3 87% 71–90 ✓
Wofford @ Samford +5.3 147.4 68% 61–77 ✓
Liberty @ Florida International -6.7 136.7 27% 82–59 ✓
Houston @ Kansas +1.1 130.4 50% 92–86 ✗
Notre Dame @ Virginia +0.8 132.3 48% 74–59 ✗
Southern @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff -12.9 147.5 12% 83–67 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ Louisiana Tech +1.1 143.0 53% 69–75 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.