Betting Lines
| Spread | ORST -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | ORST -130 SCU +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORST +14 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | ORST -3.4 (+10.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.5 (-0.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORST -4.3 (+9.7) | 150.6 (+1.4) | 68% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | ORST -2.6 (+11.4) | 150.5 (+1.5) | 64% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | ORST -3.6 (+10.4) | 150.5 (+1.5) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORST -4.0 (+10.0) | 152.1 (-0.1) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | SCU 93 – 72 ORST |
| Dec 28, 2025 | SCU 102 – 64 ORST |
| Jan 10, 2025 | SCU 82 – 81 ORST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORST | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 12-6 |
| Home | 15-3 | 12-5 |
| Away | 3-7 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.7 | 81.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.3 | 73.0 |
| Massey | 10.5 (#59) | 10.5 (#60) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.44 (#69) | 1.66 (#62) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.88 (#71) | 2.15 (#64) |
| RPI | 0.547 (#94) | 0.589 (#46) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORST | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.1% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 38.0% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 39.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 1.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.2% | 54.4% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 34.4% |
| FT Rate | 29.1% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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