In North Carolina way back in the hills, there lived my pappy and he had him a still. "White Lightning" - The Big Bopper
West Coast Conference · Leavey Center · March 1, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread SCU -15.5 Home covered
O/U 153.5 Over
Money SCU -2100 / ORST +1100
Model Predictions
Spread Total SCU win
Actual SCU +21 165 Won
Massey SCU -17.8 (+3.2)
Massey Totals 155.1 (+9.9)
Bradley-Terry 92%
Weighted B-T 97%
Baseline Plus ML SCU -15.3 (+5.7) 151.7 (+13.3) 89%
Model 4 ML SCU -14.8 (+6.2) 151.9 (+13.1) 88%
Model 3 ML SCU -15.6 (+5.4) 151.4 (+13.6) 88%
Baseline ML SCU -15.2 (+5.8) 152.2 (+12.8) 89%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 28, 2025 SCU 10264 ORST
Jan 25, 2025 ORST 8369 SCU
Jan 10, 2025 SCU 8281 ORST

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SCU ORST
Overall 26-9 17-16
Conference 15-3 9-9
Home 14-1 12-5
Away 8-3 4-7
Neutral 4-5 1-4
Last 5 3-2 3-2
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 82.9 71.1
Avg Pts Against 73.5 74.2
Massey 14.0 (#41) -0.9 (#180)
Bradley-Terry 2.24 (#41) 0.26 (#140)
W. Bradley-Terry 3.07 (#36) 0.27 (#142)
RPI 0.596 (#30) 0.512 (#150)
Shooting & Four Factors SCU ORST
FG% 47.2% 42.8%
3PT% 34.6% 35.5%
REB / G 35.1 32.5
OREB / G 12.6 8.5
AST / TO 1.48 1.16
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 54.9% 50.7%
TOV% 15.8% 17.6%
ORB% 35.9% 26.5%
FT Rate 19.6% 33.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.8% 50.2%
Opp TOV% 20.9% 15.3%
DRB% 68.4% 68.5%
Opp FT Rate 27.6% 26.0%

Game Analysis

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