Betting Lines
| Spread | SCU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | ORST +235 SCU -290 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCU +38 | 166 | Lost |
| Massey | SCU -4.9 (-33.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.6 (+15.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 31% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SCU -2.5 (-35.5) | 145.0 (+21.0) | 41% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SCU -4.7 (-33.3) | 146.2 (+19.8) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SCU -3.3 (-34.7) | 145.5 (+20.5) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SCU -1.8 (-36.2) | 145.6 (+20.4) | 43% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | SCU 93 – 72 ORST |
| Jan 25, 2025 | ORST 83 – 69 SCU |
| Jan 10, 2025 | SCU 82 – 81 ORST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORST | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 26-9 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 15-3 |
| Home | 12-5 | 14-1 |
| Away | 4-7 | 8-3 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 4-5 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.1 | 82.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.2 | 73.5 |
| Massey | -1.1 (#185) | 8.1 (#77) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.04 (#170) | 1.55 (#68) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.10 (#173) | 2.74 (#58) |
| RPI | 0.486 (#203) | 0.594 (#43) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORST | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 14.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.45 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 26.2% | 40.7% |
| FT Rate | 33.6% | 18.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 66.6% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.4% | 32.7% |
Game Analysis
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