He just grinned and shook my hand, "No" was all he said. "The Weight" - The Band
Santa Clara Broncos
82 81 OT
FINAL Conference
Oregon State Beavers
West Coast Conference · Leavey Center · January 10, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread SCU -6.5 Away covered
O/U 146.5 Over
Money SCU -280 / ORST +230
Model Predictions
Spread Total SCU win
Actual SCU +1 163 Won
Massey SCU -3.5 (-2.5)
Massey Totals 150.6 (+12.4)
Bradley-Terry 58%
Weighted B-T 62%
Baseline Plus ML SCU -4.0 (-3.0) 146.5 (+16.5) 70%
Model 4 ML SCU -2.9 (-1.9) 144.7 (+18.3) 73%
Model 3 ML SCU -3.6 (-2.6) 147.9 (+15.1) 68%
Baseline ML SCU -3.9 (-2.9) 148.5 (+14.5) 69%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 1, 2026 SCU 9372 ORST
Dec 28, 2025 SCU 10264 ORST
Jan 25, 2025 ORST 8369 SCU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SCU ORST
Overall 21-13 20-13
Conference 12-6 10-8
Home 12-5 15-3
Away 6-5 3-7
Neutral 3-3 2-3
Last 5 4-1 3-2
Streak L1 L4
Avg Pts For 81.9 75.7
Avg Pts Against 73.0 69.3
Massey 7.7 (#75) 8.2 (#70)
Bradley-Terry 1.05 (#86) 1.48 (#67)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.47 (#84) 1.84 (#70)
RPI 0.563 (#68) 0.535 (#106)
Shooting & Four Factors SCU ORST
FG% 45.8% 48.0%
3PT% 35.3% 38.5%
REB / G 38.9 34.5
OREB / G 12.5 9.5
AST / TO 1.34 1.29
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 54.0% 55.5%
TOV% 17.4% 18.3%
ORB% 34.6% 32.3%
FT Rate 22.6% 27.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.2% 46.7%
Opp TOV% 16.8% 18.9%
DRB% 70.6% 73.0%
Opp FT Rate 23.7% 22.2%

Game Analysis

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