Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | ARIZ -2000 COLO +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARIZ +15 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | ARIZ -17.7 (-2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.1 (-11.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARIZ -15.5 (-0.5) | 148.0 (-7.0) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARIZ -15.1 (-0.1) | 149.0 (-8.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARIZ -14.8 (+0.2) | 149.6 (-8.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -14.8 (+0.2) | 149.5 (-8.5) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | ARIZ 89 – 79 COLO |
| Feb 11, 2024 | ARIZ 99 – 79 COLO |
| Jan 5, 2024 | ARIZ 97 – 50 COLO |
| Feb 19, 2023 | ARIZ 78 – 68 COLO |
| Mar 12, 2022 | ARIZ 82 – 72 COLO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARIZ | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-13 | 14-21 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 3-17 |
| Home | 13-3 | 11-7 |
| Away | 6-5 | 0-10 |
| Neutral | 5-5 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 82.5 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.3 | 71.9 |
| Massey | 19.3 (#12) | 4.9 (#97) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.33 (#33) | 0.73 (#107) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.14 (#32) | 0.80 (#116) |
| RPI | 0.604 (#31) | 0.500 (#185) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARIZ | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.3% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 40.0 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.47 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.8% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 21.4% |
| ORB% | 36.4% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 28.1% | 29.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.8% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.1% | 23.5% |
Game Analysis
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