Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | ARIZ -1000 COLO +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARIZ +10 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | ARIZ -10.7 (-0.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.8 (-8.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARIZ -10.6 (-0.6) | 153.4 (-7.4) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARIZ -10.0 (-0.0) | 154.6 (-8.6) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARIZ -10.9 (-0.9) | 153.7 (-7.7) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -10.3 (-0.3) | 153.9 (-7.9) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | ARIZ 89 – 79 COLO |
| Jan 25, 2025 | ARIZ 78 – 63 COLO |
| Feb 11, 2024 | ARIZ 99 – 79 COLO |
| Jan 5, 2024 | ARIZ 97 – 50 COLO |
| Mar 12, 2022 | ARIZ 82 – 72 COLO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARIZ | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-7 | 18-17 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 8-12 |
| Home | 15-2 | 13-5 |
| Away | 6-4 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 7-1 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.9 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.1 | 67.1 |
| Massey | 16.7 (#8) | 9.5 (#53) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.69 (#11) | 0.87 (#101) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.01 (#18) | 1.42 (#80) |
| RPI | 0.633 (#7) | 0.553 (#83) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARIZ | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.1% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 37.1% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 40.5 | 37.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.47 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.3% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.8% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 47.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 20.6% |
| DRB% | 73.9% | 74.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.9% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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