Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -9.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | ARIZ -500 COLO +375 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARIZ +10 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | ARIZ -13.1 (-3.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.1 (+5.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARIZ -8.8 (+1.2) | 150.2 (+3.8) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARIZ -8.8 (+1.2) | 149.9 (+4.1) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARIZ -8.6 (+1.4) | 149.4 (+4.6) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -9.5 (+0.5) | 151.6 (+2.4) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | ARIZ 89 – 79 COLO |
| Jan 25, 2025 | ARIZ 78 – 63 COLO |
| Feb 11, 2024 | ARIZ 99 – 79 COLO |
| Jan 5, 2024 | ARIZ 97 – 50 COLO |
| Feb 19, 2023 | ARIZ 78 – 68 COLO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARIZ | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 33-4 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 18-2 | 12-8 |
| Home | 17-0 | 12-6 |
| Away | 9-3 | 6-4 |
| Neutral | 7-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 84.0 | 71.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 67.4 |
| Massey | 21.3 (#2) | 8.2 (#69) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.80 (#1) | 1.75 (#53) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.39 (#2) | 2.16 (#52) |
| RPI | 0.642 (#2) | 0.539 (#99) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARIZ | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.5% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 41.6 | 37.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.54 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.8% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 34.8% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.9% | 26.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.1% | 47.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 75.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.2% | 18.9% |
Game Analysis
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