Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -13.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Under |
| Money | ARIZ -700 COLO +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARIZ +47 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | ARIZ -13.7 (+33.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 167.1 (-20.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARIZ -13.2 (+33.8) | 158.2 (-11.2) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARIZ -11.8 (+35.2) | 156.0 (-9.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARIZ -10.9 (+36.1) | 162.8 (-15.8) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -11.2 (+35.8) | 162.2 (-15.2) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | ARIZ 89 – 79 COLO |
| Jan 25, 2025 | ARIZ 78 – 63 COLO |
| Feb 11, 2024 | ARIZ 99 – 79 COLO |
| Feb 19, 2023 | ARIZ 78 – 68 COLO |
| Mar 12, 2022 | ARIZ 82 – 72 COLO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARIZ | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-9 | 26-11 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 13-7 |
| Home | 15-1 | 16-1 |
| Away | 7-4 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 5-4 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 87.1 | 79.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 71.7 |
| Massey | 23.0 (#3) | 13.8 (#24) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.45 (#26) | 2.20 (#34) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.43 (#24) | 3.11 (#29) |
| RPI | 0.624 (#17) | 0.618 (#23) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARIZ | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.5% | 51.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 40.8% |
| REB / G | 44.2 | 38.8 |
| OREB / G | 13.7 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.58 | 1.31 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.1% | 57.8% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 37.2% | 35.8% |
| FT Rate | 27.0% | 29.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 79.2% | 77.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.3% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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