Betting Lines
| Spread | COLO -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Over |
| Money | COLO -125 ARIZ +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARIZ +20 | 178 | Lost |
| Massey | ARIZ -6.0 (-14.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 164.4 (+13.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARIZ -2.5 (-17.5) | 164.0 (+14.0) | 39% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARIZ -4.3 (-15.7) | 159.4 (+18.6) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARIZ -2.5 (-17.5) | 164.8 (+13.2) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -1.9 (-18.1) | 166.0 (+12.0) | 39% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | ARIZ 89 – 79 COLO |
| Jan 25, 2025 | ARIZ 78 – 63 COLO |
| Jan 5, 2024 | ARIZ 97 – 50 COLO |
| Feb 19, 2023 | ARIZ 78 – 68 COLO |
| Mar 12, 2022 | ARIZ 82 – 72 COLO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLO | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-11 | 27-9 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 15-5 |
| Home | 16-1 | 15-1 |
| Away | 4-7 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 5-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.3 | 87.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 72.1 |
| Massey | 13.1 (#31) | 22.5 (#3) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.77 (#54) | 2.69 (#10) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.34 (#44) | 3.56 (#7) |
| RPI | 0.596 (#34) | 0.646 (#6) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLO | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.3% | 48.7% |
| 3PT% | 39.1% | 36.4% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 43.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 14.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 1.57 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.0% | 54.5% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 32.3% | 37.4% |
| FT Rate | 29.2% | 26.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 76.7% | 77.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.1% | 17.1% |
Game Analysis
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