Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Over |
| Money | COLO +750 ARIZ -1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARIZ +10 | 168 | Lost |
| Massey | ARIZ -15.3 (+5.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.7 (+7.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARIZ -12.5 (+2.5) | 152.7 (+15.3) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARIZ -12.6 (+2.6) | 153.4 (+14.6) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -10.9 (+0.9) | 154.9 (+13.1) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARIZ -13.2 (+3.2) | 156.0 (+12.0) | 12% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 25, 2025 | ARIZ 78 – 63 COLO |
| Feb 11, 2024 | ARIZ 99 – 79 COLO |
| Jan 5, 2024 | ARIZ 97 – 50 COLO |
| Feb 19, 2023 | ARIZ 78 – 68 COLO |
| Mar 12, 2022 | ARIZ 82 – 72 COLO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLO | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 36-3 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 16-2 |
| Home | 13-5 | 16-1 |
| Away | 2-8 | 9-1 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 11-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.2 | 86.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.8 | 69.4 |
| Massey | 8.2 (#75) | 26.5 (#3) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.69 (#62) | 5.01 (#3) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.30 (#57) | 6.27 (#3) |
| RPI | 0.549 (#79) | 0.671 (#3) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLO | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.2% | 50.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 43.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 13.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.52 | 1.56 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.4% | 54.8% |
| TOV% | 14.7% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 38.7% |
| FT Rate | 27.4% | 31.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 44.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 73.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.9% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
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