Betting Lines
| Spread | W&M -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Under |
| Money | W&M -425 MONM +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | W&M win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | W&M +5 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | W&M -9.7 (-4.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.0 (-8.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | W&M -9.3 (-4.3) | 153.4 (-2.4) | 78% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | W&M -6.8 (-1.8) | 152.0 (-1.0) | 73% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | W&M -8.1 (-3.1) | 151.0 (-0.0) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | W&M -7.5 (-2.5) | 151.3 (-0.3) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 9, 2026 | MONM 81 – 70 W&M |
| Feb 9, 2024 | MONM 68 – 64 W&M |
| Feb 25, 2023 | W&M 74 – 62 MONM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | W&M | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 10-8 |
| Home | 12-2 | 8-2 |
| Away | 4-11 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.5 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.5 | 75.4 |
| Massey | -1.2 (#181) | -7.5 (#285) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.00 (#183) | -1.61 (#310) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.27 (#155) | -1.95 (#300) |
| RPI | 0.509 (#164) | 0.434 (#292) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | W&M | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 39.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.0% | 45.1% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 27.7% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 26.7% | 26.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 65.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.9% | 29.0% |
Game Analysis
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