Betting Lines
| Spread | W&M -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Under |
| Money | MONM +124 W&M -148 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MONM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONM +11 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | W&M -4.8 (+15.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.0 (-4.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 20% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 13% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | W&M -4.0 (+15.0) | 147.4 (+3.6) | 34% ✗ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | W&M -2.2 (+13.2) | 148.7 (+2.3) | 47% ✗ |
| Model 3 ML | W&M -4.0 (+15.0) | 145.0 (+6.0) | 30% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | W&M -4.0 (+15.0) | 145.5 (+5.5) | 32% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 25, 2025 | W&M 78 – 73 MONM |
| Feb 9, 2024 | MONM 68 – 64 W&M |
| Feb 25, 2023 | W&M 74 – 62 MONM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MONM | W&M |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 10-8 |
| Home | 10-4 | 11-2 |
| Away | 6-9 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 81.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 78.9 |
| Massey | -3.3 (#217) | 5.3 (#106) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.94 (#254) | 1.10 (#91) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.24 (#252) | 1.36 (#98) |
| RPI | 0.452 (#262) | 0.566 (#72) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MONM | W&M |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 46.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 1.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 54.3% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 31.0% | 26.0% |
| FT Rate | 27.4% | 31.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 66.6% | 67.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
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