Betting Lines
| Spread | W&M -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | W&M -150 MONM +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | W&M win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | W&M +12 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | W&M -9.1 (+2.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.1 (+0.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | W&M -5.6 (+6.4) | 137.6 (-1.6) | 74% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | W&M -3.8 (+8.2) | 137.1 (-1.1) | 65% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | W&M -6.7 (+5.3) | 138.2 (-2.2) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | W&M -5.9 (+6.1) | 138.7 (-2.7) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 9, 2026 | MONM 81 – 70 W&M |
| Jan 25, 2025 | W&M 78 – 73 MONM |
| Feb 9, 2024 | MONM 68 – 64 W&M |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | W&M | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 7-26 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 5-13 |
| Home | 11-5 | 3-10 |
| Away | 1-14 | 3-15 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.9 | 61.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 74.7 |
| Massey | -8.7 (#314) | -14.2 (#355) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.24 (#287) | -1.71 (#323) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.84 (#308) | -2.14 (#328) |
| RPI | 0.459 (#262) | 0.448 (#282) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | W&M | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 39.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 27.8% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 43.4% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.9% | 55.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 20.8% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 66.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.9% | 27.6% |
Game Analysis
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