Betting Lines
| Spread | MONM -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | MONM -400 W&M +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MONM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONM +4 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | MONM -12.6 (-8.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.4 (-14.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONM -10.0 (-6.0) | 145.0 (-13.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | MONM -8.8 (-4.8) | 143.0 (-11.0) | 84% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | MONM -10.5 (-6.5) | 144.8 (-12.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MONM -10.1 (-6.1) | 144.9 (-12.9) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 9, 2026 | MONM 81 – 70 W&M |
| Jan 25, 2025 | W&M 78 – 73 MONM |
| Feb 25, 2023 | W&M 74 – 62 MONM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MONM | W&M |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 10-23 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 4-14 |
| Home | 13-1 | 7-7 |
| Away | 2-13 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.4 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 74.2 |
| Massey | -0.7 (#172) | -9.9 (#318) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.30 (#151) | -2.01 (#332) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.36 (#152) | -2.38 (#327) |
| RPI | 0.516 (#143) | 0.390 (#339) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MONM | W&M |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 25.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 14.4% |
| DRB% | 68.0% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.