Betting Lines
| Spread | VCU -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | VCU -1400 SBU +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VCU +14 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | VCU -9.6 (+4.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.7 (+6.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VCU -8.8 (+5.2) | 133.4 (+2.6) | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VCU -8.7 (+5.3) | 133.0 (+3.0) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VCU -8.8 (+5.2) | 133.2 (+2.8) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VCU -8.5 (+5.5) | 133.4 (+2.6) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 31, 2025 | VCU 89 – 82 SBU |
| Mar 14, 2025 | VCU 76 – 59 SBU |
| Dec 31, 2024 | SBU 77 – 75 VCU |
| Jan 31, 2024 | SBU 67 – 62 VCU |
| Jan 4, 2024 | SBU 89 – 78 VCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VCU | SBU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-7 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 9-9 |
| Home | 15-1 | 12-4 |
| Away | 7-3 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.0 | 65.6 |
| Massey | 11.8 (#48) | 5.6 (#94) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.59 (#65) | 1.12 (#86) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.46 (#53) | 1.56 (#83) |
| RPI | 0.584 (#49) | 0.558 (#77) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VCU | SBU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 38.1 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 13.2 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 35.9% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.0% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.1% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 74.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.8% | 18.0% |
Game Analysis
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