Betting Lines
| Spread | VCU -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Over |
| Money | VCU -575 SBU +425 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VCU +7 | 171 | Won |
| Massey | VCU -12.0 (-5.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.9 (+12.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VCU -10.8 (-3.8) | 150.8 (+20.2) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VCU -11.1 (-4.1) | 149.9 (+21.1) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VCU -11.5 (-4.5) | 152.5 (+18.5) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VCU -10.5 (-3.5) | 152.6 (+18.4) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2025 | VCU 76 – 59 SBU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | VCU 75 – 61 SBU |
| Dec 31, 2024 | SBU 77 – 75 VCU |
| Jan 31, 2024 | SBU 67 – 62 VCU |
| Jan 4, 2024 | SBU 89 – 78 VCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VCU | SBU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-8 | 17-17 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 4-14 |
| Home | 15-2 | 9-7 |
| Away | 7-3 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.8 | 76.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.8 | 75.4 |
| Massey | 11.3 (#49) | 3.3 (#122) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.63 (#63) | 2.18 (#46) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.78 (#52) | 2.71 (#54) |
| RPI | 0.548 (#94) | 0.620 (#23) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VCU | SBU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 46.8% |
| 3PT% | 37.7% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 38.8 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.32 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.6% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 36.2% | 38.2% |
| FT Rate | 31.6% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.0% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 67.9% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.1% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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