Hallelujah, here she comes. "Skateaway" - Dire Straits
Quinnipiac Bobcats
75 – 64
FINAL Conference
Rider Broncs
Metro Conference · M&T Bank Arena · January 25, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread QUIN -11.5 Away covered
O/U 143.5 Under
Money QUIN -900 / RID +550
Model Predictions
Spread Total QUIN win
Actual QUIN +11 139 Won
Massey QUIN -12.0 (-1.0) — —
Massey Totals — 138.6 (+0.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 90% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 94% ✓
Baseline Plus ML QUIN -9.9 (+1.1) 138.5 (+0.5) 84% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ QUIN -9.6 (+1.4) 141.3 (-2.3) 85% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML QUIN -9.7 (+1.3) 137.4 (+1.6) 85% ✓
Baseline ML QUIN -10.0 (+1.0) 136.1 (+2.9) 85% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 7, 2025 QUIN 72 – 58 RID
Mar 12, 2025 QUIN 78 – 64 RID
Dec 7, 2024 QUIN 72 – 67 RID
Feb 25, 2024 RID 88 – 78 QUIN
Jan 6, 2024 QUIN 88 – 84 RID

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings QUIN RID
Overall 20-13 14-19
Conference 15-5 9-11
Home 12-2 5-7
Away 7-10 8-11
Neutral 1-1 1-1
Last 5 4-1 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 74.0 67.0
Avg Pts Against 72.2 71.8
Massey -1.2 (#183) -9.9 (#321)
Bradley-Terry 0.15 (#165) -1.38 (#292)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.13 (#164) -1.98 (#305)
RPI 0.538 (#111) 0.432 (#296)
Shooting & Four Factors QUIN RID
FG% 40.7% 41.2%
3PT% 28.2% 29.2%
REB / G 38.6 34.7
OREB / G 12.9 11.9
AST / TO 0.97 1.02
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 46.3% 45.9%
TOV% 17.4% 17.9%
ORB% 34.2% 33.1%
FT Rate 20.9% 21.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.7% 53.6%
Opp TOV% 18.4% 16.8%
DRB% 71.0% 68.3%
Opp FT Rate 19.6% 17.9%

Game Analysis

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