Betting Lines
| Spread | QUIN -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | RID -111 QUIN -115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RID win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RID +10 | 166 | Won |
| Massey | RID -1.1 (+8.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.9 (+11.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 35% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RID -0.4 (+9.6) | 152.0 (+14.0) | 55% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RID -1.5 (+8.5) | 149.6 (+16.4) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RID -1.2 (+8.8) | 149.5 (+16.5) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RID -0.6 (+9.4) | 152.1 (+13.9) | 55% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2025 | QUIN 72 – 58 RID |
| Mar 12, 2025 | QUIN 78 – 64 RID |
| Jan 25, 2025 | QUIN 75 – 64 RID |
| Dec 7, 2024 | QUIN 72 – 67 RID |
| Jan 6, 2024 | QUIN 88 – 84 RID |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RID | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 24-10 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 15-5 |
| Home | 9-4 | 13-3 |
| Away | 6-12 | 10-5 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 76.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 71.9 |
| Massey | -4.1 (#244) | -1.9 (#195) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.05 (#279) | 0.21 (#155) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.33 (#286) | -0.14 (#176) |
| RPI | 0.472 (#237) | 0.521 (#131) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RID | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 31.9% | 30.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
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