Betting Lines
| Spread | RID -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | RID -120 QUIN +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RID win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | QUIN +5 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | RID -6.5 (-11.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.6 (+6.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RID -3.8 (-8.8) | 134.8 (+4.2) | 65% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RID -2.5 (-7.5) | 134.8 (+4.2) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RID -3.6 (-8.6) | 132.8 (+6.2) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | RID -3.9 (-8.9) | 133.8 (+5.2) | 67% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2025 | QUIN 72 – 58 RID |
| Mar 12, 2025 | QUIN 78 – 64 RID |
| Jan 25, 2025 | QUIN 75 – 64 RID |
| Feb 25, 2024 | RID 88 – 78 QUIN |
| Jan 6, 2024 | QUIN 88 – 84 RID |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RID | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 15-5 |
| Home | 5-7 | 12-2 |
| Away | 8-11 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.0 | 74.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.8 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -5.6 (#268) | -7.2 (#299) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.42 (#212) | -0.68 (#238) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.07 (#242) | -1.14 (#246) |
| RPI | 0.501 (#168) | 0.437 (#279) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RID | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 38.1% |
| 3PT% | 28.7% | 24.9% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 0.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.6% | 42.9% |
| TOV% | 20.9% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 34.5% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.2% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 63.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.2% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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