Betting Lines
| Spread | QUIN -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | QUIN -175 RID +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | QUIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | QUIN +4 | 172 | Won |
| Massey | QUIN -9.2 (-5.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.7 (+20.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | QUIN -5.8 (-1.8) | 150.6 (+21.4) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | QUIN -7.3 (-3.3) | 147.9 (+24.1) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | QUIN -6.6 (-2.6) | 148.1 (+23.9) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | QUIN -7.1 (-3.1) | 151.2 (+20.8) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2025 | QUIN 72 – 58 RID |
| Mar 12, 2025 | QUIN 78 – 64 RID |
| Jan 25, 2025 | QUIN 75 – 64 RID |
| Dec 7, 2024 | QUIN 72 – 67 RID |
| Feb 25, 2024 | RID 88 – 78 QUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | QUIN | RID |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-10 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 12-8 |
| Home | 13-3 | 9-4 |
| Away | 10-5 | 6-12 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 72.3 |
| Massey | -2.5 (#216) | -7.4 (#292) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.20 (#158) | -1.90 (#324) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.03 (#175) | -2.33 (#315) |
| RPI | 0.493 (#183) | 0.432 (#286) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | QUIN | RID |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 38.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 25.9% |
| REB / G | 38.1 | 40.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 14.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 42.6% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 35.0% |
| FT Rate | 26.7% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.8% | 30.4% |
Game Analysis
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