Let fury have the hour / Anger can be power. "Clampdown" - The Clash
Quinnipiac Bobcats
88 – 84
FINAL Conference
Rider Broncs
Metro Conference · M&T Bank Arena · January 6, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread QUIN -4.5 Away covered
O/U 149.5 Over
Money QUIN -175 / RID +188
Model Predictions
Spread Total QUIN win
Actual QUIN +4 172 Won
Massey QUIN -9.2 (-5.2) — —
Massey Totals — 151.7 (+20.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 95% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 96% ✓
Baseline Plus ML QUIN -7.1 (-3.1) 151.2 (+20.8) 79% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ QUIN -5.8 (-1.8) 150.6 (+21.4) 72% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML QUIN -7.3 (-3.3) 147.9 (+24.1) 79% ✓
Baseline ML QUIN -6.6 (-2.6) 148.1 (+23.9) 77% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 7, 2025 QUIN 72 – 58 RID
Mar 12, 2025 QUIN 78 – 64 RID
Jan 25, 2025 QUIN 75 – 64 RID
Dec 7, 2024 QUIN 72 – 67 RID
Feb 25, 2024 RID 88 – 78 QUIN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings QUIN RID
Overall 24-10 15-17
Conference 15-5 12-8
Home 13-3 9-4
Away 10-5 6-12
Neutral 1-2 0-1
Last 5 3-2 2-3
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 76.2 70.8
Avg Pts Against 71.9 72.3
Massey -2.5 (#216) -7.4 (#292)
Bradley-Terry 0.20 (#158) -1.90 (#324)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.03 (#175) -2.33 (#315)
RPI 0.493 (#183) 0.432 (#286)
Shooting & Four Factors QUIN RID
FG% 42.4% 38.8%
3PT% 33.6% 25.9%
REB / G 38.1 40.6
OREB / G 11.2 14.3
AST / TO 1.13 0.85
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.2% 42.6%
TOV% 17.4% 18.5%
ORB% 30.9% 35.0%
FT Rate 26.7% 21.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.1% 52.0%
Opp TOV% 15.9% 15.0%
DRB% 73.6% 72.9%
Opp FT Rate 16.8% 30.4%

Game Analysis

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