Betting Lines
| Spread | KSU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | KSU -150 WVU +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KSU +13 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | WVU -5.6 (+18.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.5 (-4.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 16% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 18% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WVU -2.9 (+15.9) | 136.9 (-3.9) | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WVU -4.5 (+17.5) | 134.5 (-1.5) | 29% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WVU -4.9 (+17.9) | 132.9 (+0.1) | 37% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WVU -3.5 (+16.5) | 134.5 (-1.5) | 32% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | KSU 65 – 63 WVU |
| Jan 28, 2026 | WVU 59 – 54 KSU |
| Feb 27, 2024 | KSU 94 – 90 WVU |
| Jan 10, 2024 | KSU 81 – 67 WVU |
| Mar 4, 2023 | WVU 89 – 81 KSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KSU | WVU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 10-10 |
| Home | 10-5 | 13-4 |
| Away | 3-9 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 68.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 64.8 |
| Massey | 4.7 (#98) | 13.7 (#37) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.34 (#142) | 2.58 (#28) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.67 (#123) | 2.87 (#40) |
| RPI | 0.512 (#156) | 0.608 (#28) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KSU | WVU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.35 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 26.3% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 44.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 67.4% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
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