Betting Lines
| Spread | WVU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | KSU +160 WVU -192 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KSU +2 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | WVU -1.2 (+3.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.1 (-16.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 38% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 32% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WVU -0.3 (+2.3) | 138.6 (-10.6) | 46% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WVU -0.8 (+2.8) | 140.6 (-12.6) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KSU -0.2 (+1.8) | 139.4 (-11.4) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | KSU -0.1 (+1.9) | 140.1 (-12.1) | 44% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2026 | WVU 59 – 54 KSU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | KSU 73 – 60 WVU |
| Feb 27, 2024 | KSU 94 – 90 WVU |
| Jan 10, 2024 | KSU 81 – 67 WVU |
| Mar 4, 2023 | WVU 89 – 81 KSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KSU | WVU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 21-14 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 9-9 |
| Home | 10-8 | 15-3 |
| Away | 1-10 | 3-6 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-5 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | W3 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.6 | 70.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.8 | 65.7 |
| Massey | 5.9 (#95) | 10.1 (#58) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.79 (#100) | 1.78 (#56) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.10 (#95) | 2.43 (#51) |
| RPI | 0.499 (#192) | 0.538 (#98) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KSU | WVU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.34 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.3% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 18.2% | 23.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 66.5% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.5% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
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