Betting Lines
| Spread | WVU -5.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WVU +8 | 170 | Won |
| Massey | WVU -3.3 (+4.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.8 (+19.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 43% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WVU -3.5 (+4.5) | 146.4 (+23.6) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WVU -2.7 (+5.3) | 148.8 (+21.2) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WVU -2.8 (+5.2) | 148.8 (+21.2) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WVU -3.2 (+4.8) | 148.4 (+21.6) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | KSU 65 – 63 WVU |
| Jan 28, 2026 | WVU 59 – 54 KSU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | KSU 73 – 60 WVU |
| Feb 27, 2024 | KSU 94 – 90 WVU |
| Jan 10, 2024 | KSU 81 – 67 WVU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WVU | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 26-10 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 11-7 |
| Home | 13-4 | 16-1 |
| Away | 3-8 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.0 | 76.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 69.9 |
| Massey | 13.4 (#19) | 13.7 (#16) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.96 (#38) | 2.85 (#8) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.69 (#26) | 3.32 (#12) |
| RPI | 0.573 (#53) | 0.594 (#28) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WVU | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 34.1% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 30.0% | 28.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 47.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.8% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.3% | 25.1% |
Game Analysis
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