Betting Lines
| Spread | KSU -3.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | WVU +122 KSU -145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KSU +14 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | KSU -2.7 (-11.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.2 (+5.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KSU -2.4 (-11.6) | 141.2 (+6.8) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KSU -4.2 (-9.8) | 138.7 (+9.3) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KSU -3.3 (-10.7) | 139.7 (+8.3) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KSU -3.8 (-10.2) | 140.6 (+7.4) | 39% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | KSU 65 – 63 WVU |
| Jan 28, 2026 | WVU 59 – 54 KSU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | KSU 73 – 60 WVU |
| Feb 27, 2024 | KSU 94 – 90 WVU |
| Mar 4, 2023 | WVU 89 – 81 KSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WVU | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 8-10 |
| Home | 9-9 | 14-3 |
| Away | 0-9 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 0-5 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L6 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 72.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.8 | 71.1 |
| Massey | 0.2 (#166) | 7.0 (#77) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.45 (#215) | 1.74 (#55) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.14 (#183) | 1.94 (#69) |
| RPI | 0.497 (#179) | 0.571 (#69) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WVU | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.4% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 29.3% | 30.5% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 40.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 14.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.7% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 37.6% |
| FT Rate | 25.6% | 27.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 46.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.7% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.2% | 16.8% |
Game Analysis
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