Betting Lines
| Spread | ETSU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | ETSU -185 UTC +155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ETSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTC +8 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | ETSU -5.9 (-13.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.2 (-15.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ETSU -5.5 (-13.5) | 141.9 (-7.9) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ETSU -5.0 (-13.0) | 143.6 (-9.6) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ETSU -4.8 (-12.8) | 143.9 (-9.9) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ETSU -5.4 (-13.4) | 143.3 (-9.3) | 74% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | ETSU 73 – 61 UTC |
| Jan 22, 2026 | ETSU 67 – 66 UTC |
| Feb 16, 2025 | UTC 78 – 71 ETSU |
| Mar 10, 2024 | ETSU 85 – 84 UTC |
| Feb 15, 2024 | UTC 84 – 71 ETSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ETSU | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 29-9 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 15-3 |
| Home | 13-3 | 14-3 |
| Away | 6-9 | 12-5 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | W5 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 79.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 74.1 |
| Massey | 2.2 (#128) | -0.3 (#169) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.13 (#190) | 0.04 (#179) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.03 (#172) | -0.01 (#174) |
| RPI | 0.484 (#205) | 0.506 (#169) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ETSU | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 14.2 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 1.49 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 55.3% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 39.0% | 25.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.5% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.0% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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