Betting Lines
| Spread | BAY -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | UTAH +125 BAY -145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTAH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BAY +15 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | BAY -3.7 (-11.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.8 (-13.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 40% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BAY -2.3 (-12.7) | 140.9 (-3.9) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BAY -2.0 (-13.0) | 141.9 (-4.9) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BAY -1.9 (-13.1) | 142.0 (-5.0) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BAY -2.1 (-12.9) | 141.0 (-4.0) | 36% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | BAY 101 – 75 UTAH |
| Dec 31, 2024 | BAY 81 – 56 UTAH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTAH | BAY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 20-15 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 10-10 |
| Home | 15-4 | 13-3 |
| Away | 1-9 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.5 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 70.3 |
| Massey | 9.1 (#68) | 16.2 (#24) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.23 (#81) | 2.12 (#43) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.61 (#78) | 2.72 (#43) |
| RPI | 0.524 (#134) | 0.592 (#42) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTAH | BAY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 40.3 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.54 | 1.50 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.8% | 53.0% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 33.7% | 35.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 19.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.1% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 21.2% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 22.9% |
Game Analysis
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