Betting Lines
| Spread | BAY -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | BAY -1200 UTAH +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BAY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BAY +26 | 176 | Won |
| Massey | BAY -11.2 (+14.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.0 (+17.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BAY -10.7 (+15.3) | 150.9 (+25.1) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BAY -10.6 (+15.4) | 151.1 (+24.9) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BAY -10.5 (+15.5) | 152.0 (+24.0) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BAY -10.9 (+15.1) | 151.9 (+24.1) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 25, 2025 | BAY 76 – 61 UTAH |
| Dec 31, 2024 | BAY 81 – 56 UTAH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BAY | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-17 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 2-16 |
| Home | 11-6 | 8-9 |
| Away | 3-7 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.4 | 74.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.9 | 79.1 |
| Massey | 12.2 (#45) | 3.9 (#110) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.73 (#58) | 0.48 (#120) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.26 (#60) | 0.61 (#123) |
| RPI | 0.539 (#95) | 0.488 (#212) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BAY | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.7 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.5% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 37.1% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 53.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 13.7% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
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