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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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36–13 on winners spread MAE 9.1 49 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Colorado State @ Fresno State -11.9 148.6 17% 69–64 ✓
Florida State @ Stanford +3.3 145.8 71% 71–78 ✓
Lafayette @ Lehigh -0.0 135.6 50% 47–86 ✗
East Texas A&M @ Lamar +9.9 133.5 82% 58–61 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ Old Dominion +1.6 133.3 54% 52–74 ✓
Charleston @ Elon +3.4 147.0 66% 76–62 ✗
Hampton @ UNC Wilmington +8.3 140.4 81% 62–83 ✓
Austin Peay @ North Alabama +11.9 142.4 86% 84–88 ✓
Western Michigan @ Central Michigan +5.9 144.7 73% 52–73 ✓
Merrimack @ Fairfield -5.1 130.2 28% 75–54 ✓
Wyoming @ San José State +2.3 135.8 62% 58–67 ✓
Grambling @ Mississippi Valley State -12.3 126.7 12% 65–54 ✓
UConn @ Xavier +1.1 143.9 57% 72–76 ✓
Southern Miss @ Louisiana -1.4 146.1 42% 67–59 ✓
Saint Mary's @ Washington State -3.8 142.5 28% 80–75 ✓
Gonzaga @ Portland -16.1 164.1 13% 105–62 ✓
St. Thomas-Minnesota @ Kansas City -3.7 146.9 33% 68–65 ✓
Omaha @ Oral Roberts -5.6 152.3 29% 84–76 ✓
Tennessee @ Auburn +7.9 136.4 81% 51–53 ✓
LSU @ Alabama +12.3 159.8 87% 73–80 ✓
Miami @ California +8.9 154.3 83% 94–98 ✓
Oklahoma @ Arkansas +4.2 144.5 67% 65–62 ✗
California Baptist @ Southern Utah -1.4 139.3 38% 76–60 ✓
Montana State @ Montana +0.8 140.9 55% 70–77 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ Cal State Fullerton -6.7 135.3 26% 83–75 ✓
Grand Canyon @ Utah Tech -10.6 146.3 16% 79–66 ✓
Kennesaw State @ UTEP +3.7 146.6 66% 71–73 ✓
Jacksonville State @ New Mexico State +2.6 136.0 62% 65–59 ✗
UC Riverside @ Cal State Bakersfield +0.5 147.3 49% 83–79 ✗
San Diego State @ Nevada +0.6 133.1 52% 69–50 ✗
Hawai'i @ UC Irvine +13.0 142.7 87% 55–71 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ UC San Diego +9.7 148.6 82% 54–79 ✓
San Diego @ San Francisco +16.9 145.2 89% 69–81 ✓
Pacific @ Pepperdine +6.1 143.5 77% 44–60 ✓
Utah Valley @ Seattle U +0.7 138.0 53% 70–66 ✗
Cincinnati @ BYU +4.1 134.0 74% 52–80 ✓
Duquesne @ Fordham -2.1 144.5 42% 63–65 ✗
Maryland @ Indiana -4.1 147.8 32% 79–78 ✓
Nebraska @ Wisconsin +9.3 147.9 83% 55–83 ✓
UAB @ Memphis +11.5 157.1 86% 77–100 ✓
Long Island University @ Mercyhurst -1.7 129.5 40% 80–85 ✗
Chicago State @ Central Connecticut +15.7 126.8 88% 64–81 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ North Texas +9.2 140.4 80% 64–77 ✓
Wagner @ Saint Francis +4.2 129.1 49% 68–66 ✗
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Stonehill +4.5 138.6 62% 65–54 ✗
Northwestern @ Illinois +12.4 150.1 85% 74–83 ✓
Oklahoma State @ Texas Tech +16.3 147.3 89% 54–64 ✓
Wichita State @ Tulsa -4.6 144.8 31% 77–84 ✗
Navy @ Army +3.2 143.6 62% 66–53 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.