Betting Lines
| Spread | ARK -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | ARK -165 OU +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OU +3 | 127 | Lost |
| Massey | ARK -5.1 (-8.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.2 (-23.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARK -5.2 (-8.2) | 146.1 (-19.1) | 68% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARK -3.5 (-6.5) | 145.3 (-18.3) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARK -4.3 (-7.3) | 145.7 (-18.7) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ARK -4.2 (-7.2) | 144.5 (-17.5) | 67% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | ARK 82 – 79 OU |
| Jan 28, 2026 | ARK 83 – 79 OU |
| Dec 9, 2023 | OU 79 – 70 ARK |
| Dec 10, 2022 | ARK 88 – 78 OU |
| Dec 11, 2021 | OU 88 – 66 ARK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARK | OU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-14 | 20-14 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 6-12 |
| Home | 13-4 | 12-5 |
| Away | 4-6 | 2-7 |
| Neutral | 5-4 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.8 | 78.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.4 | 74.6 |
| Massey | 12.7 (#44) | 10.9 (#54) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.79 (#56) | 2.65 (#25) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.39 (#56) | 3.36 (#28) |
| RPI | 0.549 (#87) | 0.567 (#64) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARK | OU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 48.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 37.0% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 56.6% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.3% | 29.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 67.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.4% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.