Betting Lines
| Spread | STMN -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | KC +120 STMN -140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STMN +3 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | STMN -3.8 (+0.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.8 (-13.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STMN -3.6 (+0.6) | 146.3 (-13.3) | 33% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STMN -1.3 (-1.7) | 146.2 (-13.2) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STMN -3.7 (+0.7) | 146.1 (-13.1) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STMN -3.7 (+0.7) | 146.9 (-13.9) | 33% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | STMN 104 – 64 KC |
| Feb 1, 2026 | STMN 99 – 64 KC |
| Mar 2, 2025 | STMN 65 – 59 KC |
| Feb 4, 2024 | STMN 71 – 56 KC |
| Dec 31, 2023 | STMN 77 – 56 KC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KC | STMN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 24-10 |
| Conference | 4-12 | 12-4 |
| Home | 9-5 | 14-0 |
| Away | 2-12 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 81.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.3 | 76.1 |
| Massey | -3.4 (#220) | 3.7 (#109) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.17 (#274) | 0.78 (#104) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.22 (#257) | 0.86 (#107) |
| RPI | 0.442 (#277) | 0.534 (#119) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KC | STMN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.9% | 49.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 39.3% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 30.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 6.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 1.40 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 58.6% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 14.6% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 20.5% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 26.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 66.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.7% | 27.3% |
Game Analysis
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