Betting Lines
| Spread | STMN -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | KC +700 STMN -1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STMN +40 | 168 | Lost |
| Massey | STMN -15.3 (-24.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.4 (+15.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STMN -13.6 (-26.4) | 147.4 (+20.6) | 14% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STMN -13.5 (-26.5) | 147.8 (+20.2) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STMN -14.2 (-25.8) | 146.5 (+21.5) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STMN -14.8 (-25.2) | 149.0 (+19.0) | 13% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | STMN 99 – 64 KC |
| Mar 2, 2025 | STMN 65 – 59 KC |
| Jan 26, 2025 | STMN 68 – 65 KC |
| Feb 4, 2024 | STMN 71 – 56 KC |
| Dec 31, 2023 | STMN 77 – 56 KC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KC | STMN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-27 | 24-10 |
| Conference | 1-15 | 12-4 |
| Home | 3-11 | 14-1 |
| Away | 1-15 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L15 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.0 | 80.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 84.8 | 73.1 |
| Massey | -15.0 (#350) | 3.2 (#119) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.42 (#361) | 0.40 (#127) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.91 (#356) | 0.66 (#116) |
| RPI | 0.365 (#360) | 0.528 (#116) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KC | STMN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 50.9% |
| 3PT% | 28.8% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 31.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 6.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 1.66 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.1% | 59.3% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 14.1% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 21.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.2% | 25.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.2% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 64.1% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.8% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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