Betting Lines
| Spread | STMN -17.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | STMN -2400 KC +1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STMN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STMN +35 | 163 | Won |
| Massey | STMN -19.3 (+15.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.6 (+13.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STMN -16.0 (+19.0) | 150.1 (+12.9) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STMN -14.4 (+20.6) | 146.5 (+16.5) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STMN -15.8 (+19.2) | 148.3 (+14.7) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STMN -15.7 (+19.3) | 150.0 (+13.0) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | STMN 104 – 64 KC |
| Mar 2, 2025 | STMN 65 – 59 KC |
| Jan 26, 2025 | STMN 68 – 65 KC |
| Feb 4, 2024 | STMN 71 – 56 KC |
| Dec 31, 2023 | STMN 77 – 56 KC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STMN | KC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-10 | 4-27 |
| Conference | 12-4 | 1-15 |
| Home | 14-1 | 3-11 |
| Away | 8-7 | 1-15 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L15 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.9 | 67.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.1 | 84.8 |
| Massey | 2.3 (#134) | -14.0 (#348) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.47 (#121) | -3.24 (#357) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.70 (#113) | -3.80 (#356) |
| RPI | 0.532 (#113) | 0.367 (#358) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STMN | KC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.1% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 29.0% |
| REB / G | 30.7 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 6.8 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.60 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.0% | 46.7% |
| TOV% | 14.6% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 21.7% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.4% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 55.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 63.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 22.3% |
Game Analysis
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